Pendulous Conflict: The Pitfalls of Counterterrorism

Binary Thinking refers to the tendency to view situations in a strictly black-and-white manner, without recognizing complexities in between. This mode of thought often results in polarized perspectives where actions and ideologies are seen as either completely right or completely wrong.

The Pendulum Analogy is useful in understanding how binary thinking can lead to escalating conflicts. In this analogy, the pendulum represents the back-and-forth nature of actions and reactions between two opposing sides. When one side acts, it pushes the pendulum in one direction. The opposing side then reacts, pushing the pendulum back with equal or greater force. Over time, this oscillation can lead to increasingly extreme actions as each side seeks to outdo the other, resulting in a cycle of escalating violence.

Antiterrorism vs. Terrorism: Amplification and Escalation

Antiterrorism, while intended to counteract terrorism, can sometimes exacerbate the problem. When antiterrorism measures are driven by binary thinking, they often fail to distinguish between combatants and non-combatants or between legitimate security measures and excessive force. This can lead to Cumulative Radicalization, where heavy-handed responses to terrorism inadvertently radicalize more individuals and communities, thus perpetuating a cycle of violence.

Cumulative Radicalization

Cumulative Radicalization occurs when the response to terrorism, such as severe military actions or oppressive security measures, fuels further resentment and radicalization among affected populations. This can lead to a broader base of support for terrorist activities, as individuals who might not have otherwise engaged in violence are driven to extremism by the harshness of the antiterrorism response.

Israeli soldiers “detain” a wounded Palestinian stone thrower after infiltrated members of the Israeli security forces shot at fellow protesters during clashes in Beit El, on the outskirts of the West Bank city of Ramallah, on October 7, 2015. New violence rocked Israel and the Israeli-occupied West Bank, including a stabbing in annexed east Jerusalem, even as Israel and Palestinian president Mahmud Abbas took steps to ease tensions. AFP PHOTO / ABBAS MOMANI (Photo credit should read ABBAS MOMANI/AFP/Getty Images)

Collective Punishment and War Crimes

When antiterrorism measures escalate, they can cross the line into Collective Punishment, where entire communities are punished for the actions of a few. This is considered a war crime under international law. For example, if a terrorist attack originates from a particular village, and the military responds by indiscriminately bombing that village, it punishes innocent civilians along with the guilty. Such actions can be classified as Crimes Against Humanity.

Proportionality and Self-Defense

A fundamental principle of international law is Proportionality, which mandates that the response to an attack should be proportional to the threat posed. A random act of terrorism, often small in scale but high in shock value, makes it challenging to maintain proportionality in response. Overreacting to terrorism with overwhelming force can undermine the moral and legal justification for Self-Defense.

For example, responding to a terrorist bombing with widespread aerial bombardments or mass arrests can lead to greater harm than the initial act of terrorism. Such disproportionate responses not only fail to address the root causes of terrorism but can also delegitimize the antiterrorism efforts, making the self-defense argument weak.

Why Antiterrorism Can Be Worse

1. Amplification of Violence: Binary thinking leads to an escalation of violence where antiterrorism measures become as brutal as the terrorism they seek to counter.

2. Radicalization: Heavy-handed responses fuel further radicalization, leading to a cycle of escalating violence.

3. Collective Punishment: Innocent civilians are often caught in the crossfire, resulting in collective punishment and potential war crimes.

4. Disproportionality: Overreactions undermine the principle of proportionality, weakening the justification for self-defense and potentially leading to more harm than the original terrorist act.

Conclusion

While terrorism poses a significant threat, the response to it must be carefully measured to avoid falling into the trap of binary thinking. Antiterrorism measures that escalate into collective punishment and disproportionate violence not only mirror the brutality of terrorism but can potentially be worse by perpetuating a cycle of violence and radicalization. Maintaining proportionality and addressing the root causes of terrorism are essential to breaking this cycle and ensuring a just and effective response to terrorism.